SURROGATE THREAT RISK FOR TRINIDAD...AN INCREASED SECURITY VULNERABILITY .
By David A. M. Fraser
Terrorism is a dangerous threat to regional security. Trinidad & Tobago and major tourist countries like Jamaica and Barbados in the former British West Indian Islands are particularly vulnerable, as they become surrogate targets.
Terrorists who cannot get to attack developed countries have aimed their bombs at softer targets. Bali and Mumbai are classic examples. For most persons, Muslims are the only terrorists.
But terrorism is now into the contracting business making it extremely more difficult to detect and interdict.
Trinidad & Tobago in recent time now plays an even more important role as described in leaked US State Department documents with regard to US energy security.
Given the activities taking place in the Middle East, we may have been moved from the back burner in the international intelligence world, to the front. This also means heightened external intelligence activity and possible interference in the political economy of Trinidad and Tobago.
I am not sure that there is a differential appreciation of the shift in policy and the treatment regime now prescribed for Trinidad and Tobago, and what this could mean for governance and political stability. As mentioned in an earlier post, the situation in the Middle East should have the United States worried from two stand points:
1. The governments replacing the former dictatorships in the Middle East are theocratic in nature. And they possess a burning desire to set up conservative Islamic or theocratic dictatorships similar to the Iran model; and
2. The revolutions across the Middle East demonstrate the capability of the terrorist organization to plan and effectively carry out acts that destabilized a significant part of the world, which now pose a serious security threat to the entire planet.
Such a situation demonstrates that without much international pressure, terrorists can quickly organize themselves in ways that makes us feel very vulnerable in the free world.
Terrorism was not so much a front burner issue in the past two and half years, rather, they have been downgraded to "enemy combatants" and such terms like that. Today, however, these new developments may surely have heads in the intelligence community rethinking the policy with regard to the war on terror.
The eventual aim of what is taking place in the Middle East is to attack Israel. The danger signals are already propping up. The newly installed Theocratic Egyptian Government did two things of note within days of overthrowing former President Mubarak:
a. They released the #2 member of Al Qaeda from Egyptian Prison; and
b. They granted permission to Iran's military to enter the Suez Canal.
These two acts signal that there is a serious problem in the Middle East, and, the get along philosophy will not work.
Trinidad and Tobago's threat elevation could be seriously heightened as a result of new Geo Political developments in the Middle East and now Africa, Nigeria in particular, which is one of the world's leading petroleum producing States. This threat comes not only from Islamic Terrorists, but also from splinter groups and governments unfriendly to western democratic and capitalist countries.
There is a secret gun factory in Venezuela, and this can pose serious problems for Trinidad and Tobago.
What is needed is a bipartisan security policy formulation and implementation approach for Trinidad and Tobago.
This approach should take the form of special oversight committees, charged with the responsibility of putting into place a new framework that will link foreign affairs and national security.
This new structure will ensure a seamless approach to intelligence gathering. This agency will have different divisions reporting to committees, which answers to an overhauled and restructured National Security Oversight Committee/Council.
The new departments or sub agencies will treat with counter intelligence operations, illegal migration, slave trading detection and interdiction, external political interference, detection and treatment of foreign spies, for which an appropriate policy is desperately needed.
This ought to be done through an intelligence sharing and clearing house system, which should be a revolving integrated law enforcement and civilian team, continuously analyzing information to inform the next steps, such as, internal security and state threats, financial terrorism, counter terrorism, and the anti narcotics trade.
This approach is necessary, as the intellectual and human resources is not reposed in any single Political Party given the small size of the country.
There is also need to develop a structure and policy framework that forms part of a continuum on the Security apparatus of the country that will remain intact throughout future changes of governments.
In the meanwhile, what are we doing about Trinidad's potentially heightened risk of being a surrogate threat?
What could this mean for life tomorrow as a Trinidad citizen? As the threat elevation rises, also would it affect the way citizens live and go about their business. Threat assessments are not only for the state, but also by extension the people and wherever they may be.
Respectfully Submitted,
David A.M. Fraser
EMAIL: fafaltd@dafsocialmediapoll.com Facebook: David Fraser
David A.M. Fraser - Founder: davidfraser@dafsocialmediapoll.com FAFA Ltd. fafaltd@dafsocialmediapoll.com
Arlette L-M Jeet - Partner: arlettejeet@dafsocialmediapoll.com
Blog: FRONTLINE By David Fraser http://davidamfraser.blogspot.com
Blog: DAF Social Media Poll http://dafsocialmediapoll.blogspot.com/
Business Savvy blog: http://arlettejeetcheckthisoutbusinesssavvy.blogspot.com
Website: http://www.dafsocialmediapoll.com
David A.M. Fraser and Arlette L-M Jeet along with their DAF Social Media Poll Team
“WORKING TOGETHER TO BUILD SUCCESSFUL NATIONS”
David A.M. Fraser